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This volume advocates accurate case outcome prediction that does not rely on symmetric modeling. To that end, it provides theory construction and testing applications in several sub-disciplines of business and the social sciences to illustrate how to move away from symmetric theory construction. Each chapter constructs case outcome theory and includes empirical analysis of outcomes. Chapter 1 provides a foundation of symmetric variable directional-relationship theory construction and null hypothesis significance testing versus asymmetric case outcome theory construction and somewhat precise outcome testing, while Chapters 2–6 investigate these principles through a range of applications. This volume will be very useful to researchers and professionals in manufacturing, service, consulting, management, marketing, organizational studies, and more. It will also be an excellent resource for advanced statistics students in building and testing case outcome models. Data sets are included so that readers can replicate findings presented in each chapter, and grow to present and test additional theories.
This book describes tools that are useful for decision-makers to improve their understanding of what is likely to happen in different configurations of contexts and decisions and to improve their forecasting abilities substantially.
Many texts are excellent sources of knowledge about individual statistical tools, but the art of data analysis is about choosing and using multiple tools. Instead of presenting isolated techniques, this text emphasizes problem solving strategies that address the many issues arising when developing multivariable models using real data and not standard textbook examples. It includes imputation methods for dealing with missing data effectively, methods for dealing with nonlinear relationships and for making the estimation of transformations a formal part of the modeling process, methods for dealing with "too many variables to analyze and not enough observations," and powerful model validation techniques based on the bootstrap. This text realistically deals with model uncertainty and its effects on inference to achieve "safe data mining".
The book comprehensively covers a wide range of evolutionary computer vision methods and applications, feature selection and extraction for training and classification, and metaheuristic algorithms in image processing. It further discusses optimized image segmentation, its analysis, pattern recognition, and object detection. Features: Discusses machine learning-based analytics such as GAN networks, autoencoders, computational imaging, and quantum computing Covers deep learning algorithms in computer vision Showcases novel solutions such as multi-resolution analysis in imaging processing, and metaheuristic algorithms for tackling challenges associated with image processing Highlight optimization problems such as image segmentation and minimized feature design vector Presents platform and simulation tools for image processing and segmentation The book aims to get the readers familiar with the fundamentals of computational intelligence as well as the recent advancements in related technologies like smart applications of digital images, and other enabling technologies from the context of image processing and computer vision. It further covers important topics such as image watermarking, steganography, morphological processing, and optimized image segmentation. It will serve as an ideal reference text for senior undergraduate, graduate students, and academic researchers in fields including electrical engineering, electronics, communications engineering, and computer engineering.
Financial Modelling in Practice: A Concise Guide for Intermediate and Advanced Level is a practical, comprehensive and in-depth guide to financial modelling designed to cover the modelling issues that are relevant to facilitate the construction of robust and readily understandable models. Based on the authors extensive experience of building models in business and finance, and of training others how to do so this book starts with a review of Excel functions that are generally most relevant for building intermediate and advanced level models (such as Lookup functions, database and statistical functions and so on). It then discusses the principles involved in designing, structuring and building relevant, accurate and readily understandable models (including the use of sensitivity analysis techniques) before covering key application areas, such as the modelling of financial statements, of cash flow valuation, risk analysis, options and real options. Finally, the topic of financial modelling using VBA is treated. Practical examples are used throughout and model examples are included in the attached CD-ROM. Aimed at intermediate and advanced level modellers in Excel who wish to extend and consolidate their knowledge, this book is focused, practical, and application-driven, facilitating knowledge to build or audit a much wider range of financial models. Note: CD-ROM/DVD and other supplementary materials are not included as part of eBook file.
This book constitutes the proceedings of the International Conference on Adaptive and Intelligent Systems, ICAIS 2011, held in Klagenfurt, Austria, in September 2011. The 36 full papers included in these proceedings together with the abstracts of 4 invited talks, were carefully reviewed and selected from 72 submissions. The contributions are organized under the following topical sections: incremental learning; adaptive system architecture; intelligent system engineering; data mining and pattern recognition; intelligent agents; and computational intelligence.
People are often interested in predicting a new or future observation. In clinical prediction, the uptake of Electronic Health Records (EHRs) has generated massive health datasets that are big in volume and diverse in variety. The outcomes can be of different types, e.g., continuous, binary, time-to-event, etc., and covariates can be either time-fixed or longitudinal. These datasets can provide rich and diverse information for modeling and prediction but also pose challenges to fast and accurate prediction of outcomes of interest. One challenge of predicting is that when the data are heterogeneous in the relationship between the covariates and the outcome. In this case, it is quite possible that localizing a subset of data in an informative manner to aid in making predictions will lead to better performance than including all information. Chapter 3 deals with a continuous outcome, and I have developed methodology that gives an interpretable and meaningful definition of similarity, and an algorithm to uncover the similarity structure to improve the prediction accuracy by making similarity-based predictions. In Chapter 4, the similarity-based prediction is extended to a survival outcome, with possible independent or dependent censoring. The algorithm is developed under the random forest framework, and I showed through both simulations and a real data example that incorporating the similarity structure indeed improves prediction accuracy in these cases. Another challenge in prediction arises when longitudinal covariates are present, and that there are scenarios when one needs to make an early prediction as soon as practical and thus cannot monitor the full trajectory of longitudinal covariates (before the prediction is required). In Chapter 5, I address this concern by quantifying the relationship between the earliness of prediction and the prediction accuracy. A penalization approach with a graphical method is introduced to select a monitoring window length given specific prediction accuracy. Comprehensive simulations are conducted to investigate the performance of the algorithm in selecting the length of the monitoring window in different scenarios.
Significantly revised, the fifth edition of the most complete, accessible text now covers all three approaches to structural equation modeling (SEM)--covariance-based SEM, nonparametric SEM (Pearl’s structural causal model), and composite SEM (partial least squares path modeling). With increased emphasis on freely available software tools such as the R lavaan package, the text uses data examples from multiple disciplines to provide a comprehensive understanding of all phases of SEM--what to know, best practices, and pitfalls to avoid. It includes exercises with answers, rules to remember, topic boxes, and a new self-test on significance testing, regression, and psychometrics. The companion website supplies helpful primers on these topics as well as data, syntax, and output for the book's examples, in files that can be opened with any basic text editor. New to This Edition *Chapters on composite SEM, also called partial least squares path modeling or variance-based SEM; conducting SEM analyses in small samples; and recent developments in mediation analysis. *Coverage of new reporting standards for SEM analyses; piecewise SEM, also called confirmatory path analysis; comparing alternative models fitted to the same data; and issues in multiple-group SEM. *Extended tutorials on techniques for dealing with missing data in SEM and instrumental variable methods to deal with confounding of target causal effects. Pedagogical Features *New self-test of knowledge about background topics (significance testing, regression, and psychometrics) with scoring key and online primers. *End-of-chapter suggestions for further reading and exercises with answers. *Troublesome examples from real data, with guidance for handling typical problems in analyses. *Topic boxes on special issues and boxed rules to remember. *Website promoting a learn-by-doing approach, including data, extensively annotated syntax, and output files for all the book’s detailed examples.
Applied Predictive Modeling covers the overall predictive modeling process, beginning with the crucial steps of data preprocessing, data splitting and foundations of model tuning. The text then provides intuitive explanations of numerous common and modern regression and classification techniques, always with an emphasis on illustrating and solving real data problems. The text illustrates all parts of the modeling process through many hands-on, real-life examples, and every chapter contains extensive R code for each step of the process. This multi-purpose text can be used as an introduction to predictive models and the overall modeling process, a practitioner’s reference handbook, or as a text for advanced undergraduate or graduate level predictive modeling courses. To that end, each chapter contains problem sets to help solidify the covered concepts and uses data available in the book’s R package. This text is intended for a broad audience as both an introduction to predictive models as well as a guide to applying them. Non-mathematical readers will appreciate the intuitive explanations of the techniques while an emphasis on problem-solving with real data across a wide variety of applications will aid practitioners who wish to extend their expertise. Readers should have knowledge of basic statistical ideas, such as correlation and linear regression analysis. While the text is biased against complex equations, a mathematical background is needed for advanced topics.