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A review of the state of the art of Bank commodity modeling for forecasting and analysis of supplies, demand, and prices.
In Brazil, two decades of high cocoa prices and low interest rates sparked significant growth in new planting of cocoa trees. Higher prices and low interest rates encouraged new planting; but higher prices discouraged replanting in the short term while encouraging it in the long term.
The collapse in commodity prices since 1980 has been a major cause of the economic crisis in a large part of the Third World. This book demonstrates, using new econometric models, that the producing countries could have prevented this price collapse by appropriate supply management.
"Tea has been one of the most popular commodities in the world. Over centuries, profits from its growth and sales funded wars and fueled colonization, and its cultivation brought about massive changes--in land use, labor systems, market practices, and social hierarchies--the effects of which are with us even today. A Thirst for Empire takes a vast and in-depth historical look at how men and women--through the tea industry in Europe, Asia, North America, and Africa--transformed global tastes and habits and in the process created our modern consumer society. As Erika Rappaport shows, between the seventeenth and twentieth centuries the boundaries of the tea industry and the British Empire overlapped but were never identical, and she highlights the economic, political, and cultural forces that enabled the British Empire to dominate--but never entirely control--the worldwide production, trade, and consumption of tea. Rappaport delves into how Europeans adopted, appropriated, and altered Chinese tea culture to build a widespread demand for tea in Britain and other global markets and a plantation-based economy in South Asia and Africa. Tea was among the earliest colonial industries in which merchants, planters, promoters, and retailers used imperial resources to pay for global advertising and political lobbying. The commercial model that tea inspired still exists and is vital for understanding how politics and publicity influence the international economy ..."--Jacket.
Facing increasingly tough international competition in coffee and cocoa markets, Côte d'Ivoire can increase export revenues from the two commodities 8 percent in 1995 and about 12 percent in 2000 by increasing coffee production and cutting back on the expansion in cocoa production.