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Researchers developed two scenarios to envision the future of mobility in China in 2030. Economic growth, the presence of constraints on vehicle ownership and driving, and environmental conditions differentiate the scenarios. By making potential long-term mobility futures more vivid, the team sought to help decisionmakers at different levels of government and in the private sector better anticipate and prepare for change.
"2030 The Driverless World" is a business book, with a time traveler narrative about how to get from 2017 to the Driverless World of 2030 where human drivers share the road with autonomous vehicles, and jay-walking pedestrians. "Sudha takes us with her on a ride to the not so distant future of 2030 where auto AI is the new normal. Tapping her expertise in cognitive IoT, Sudha shares how driverless cars will communicate both with us and with our smart city infrastructure, providing the GPS for the transformation of passenger vehicles, semi trucks, and urban mobility".- Ken Herron CMO Unified Inbox LLC. The author shares a vision of the Driverless World and walks us through the business opportunity, risks, regulations and the many transformations of businesses that are needed to get us from 2017 to 2030 and beyond. Imagine if the road could tell the car if it was icy, traffic lights and parking spots signaled the cars and the wearables on humans told the car about their health, emotions and entertainment needs. The author boldly predicts that this will be an iteration in the next 10-15 years that will create innovations and disruptions of several industries, giving an opportunity for entrepreneurs and innovators to create new businesses, to find new uses of autonomous vehicles, re-imagine transportation, land re-use and urban mobility. As you flip the pages of this book, you step into a world of inspiration into the autonomous driving world of 2030. We will look at the impact on our jobs, cities, and mobility. We will learn how the nuances of human communication on the road were translated into technology by 2030, thereby creating many Cognitive IoT devices impacting cities, transportation, and urban mobility. We will take an in-depth look at the transformation of Automotive, Transportation, and Cities. We will talk about regulation and governance and how cities and countries adopted to the car AI's technology to ask for data and algorithmic governance of self-driving cars. A chapter will focus on what the self-driving car sees to help us understand the Technology behind these autonomous vehicles. Finally, look ahead to how we can get to a fully autonomous driving world. "The future Sudha Jamthe reveals in this book about cars as moral machines challenges our assumptions of what is a human-only domain as we create machines that learn their environment, respond to our emotions and reflect empathy. The future is now, and the legacy we leave for future generations is worth the careful consideration of our decisions made today." - Tamara McCleary, Global Technology Influencer, and CEO, Thulium.co
The technology and engineering behind autonomous driving is advancing at pace. This book presents the latest technical advances and the economic, environmental and social impact driverless cars will have on individuals and the automotive industry.
The subject of driverless and even ownerless cars has the potential to be the most disruptive technology for real estate, land use, and parking since the invention of the elevator. This book includes new research and economic analysis, plus a thorough review of the current literature to pose and attempt to answer a number of important questions about the effect that driverless vehicles may have on land use in the United States, especially on parking. Simons outlines the history of disruptive technologies in transport and real estate before examining how the predicted changes brought in by the adoption of driverless technologies and decline in car ownership will affect our urban areas. What could we do with all the parking areas in our cities and our homes and institutional buildings that may no longer be required? Can they be sustainably repurposed? Will self-driving cars become like horses, used only by hobbyists for recreation and sport? While the focus is on parking, the book also contains the views of real estate economists, architects, and policymakers and is essential reading for real estate developers and investors, transport economists, planners, politicians, and policymakers who need to consider the implications of a future with more driverless vehicles. Fasten your seat belt: like it or not, driverless cars will begin to change the way we move about our cities within ten years.
The automotive industry appears close to substantial change engendered by “self-driving” technologies. This technology offers the possibility of significant benefits to social welfare—saving lives; reducing crashes, congestion, fuel consumption, and pollution; increasing mobility for the disabled; and ultimately improving land use. This report is intended as a guide for state and federal policymakers on the many issues that this technology raises.
This book examines the development and technical progress of self-driving vehicles in the context of the Vision Zero project from the European Union, which aims to eliminate highway system fatalities and serious accidents by 2050. It presents the concept of Autonomous Driving (AD) and discusses its applications in transportation, logistics, space, agriculture, and industrial and home automation.
World-renowned economist Klaus Schwab, Founder and Executive Chairman of the World Economic Forum, explains that we have an opportunity to shape the fourth industrial revolu­tion, which will fundamentally alter how we live and work. Schwab argues that this revolution is different in scale, scope and complexity from any that have come before. Characterized by a range of new technologies that are fusing the physical, digital and biological worlds, the developments are affecting all disciplines, economies, industries and governments, and even challenging ideas about what it means to be human. Artificial intelligence is already all around us, from supercomputers, drones and virtual assistants to 3D printing, DNA sequencing, smart thermostats, wear­able sensors and microchips smaller than a grain of sand. But this is just the beginning: nanomaterials 200 times stronger than steel and a million times thinner than a strand of hair and the first transplant of a 3D printed liver are already in development. Imagine “smart factories” in which global systems of manu­facturing are coordinated virtually, or implantable mobile phones made of biosynthetic materials. The fourth industrial revolution, says Schwab, is more significant, and its ramifications more profound, than in any prior period of human history. He outlines the key technologies driving this revolution and discusses the major impacts expected on government, business, civil society and individu­als. Schwab also offers bold ideas on how to harness these changes and shape a better future—one in which technology empowers people rather than replaces them; progress serves society rather than disrupts it; and in which innovators respect moral and ethical boundaries rather than cross them. We all have the opportunity to contribute to developing new frame­works that advance progress.
The industrial age of energy and transportation will be over by 2030. Maybe before. Exponentially improving technologies such as solar, electric vehicles, and autonomous (self-driving) cars will disrupt and sweep away the energy and transportation industries as we know it. The same Silicon Valley ecosystem that created bit-based technologies that have disrupted atom-based industries is now creating bit- and electron-based technologies that will disrupt atom-based energy industries. Clean Disruption projections (based on technology cost curves, business model innovation as well as product innovation) show that by 2030: - All new energy will be provided by solar or wind. - All new mass-market vehicles will be electric. - All of these vehicles will be autonomous (self-driving) or semi-autonomous. - The new car market will shrink by 80%. - Even assuming that EVs don't kill the gasoline car by 2030, the self-driving car will shrink the new car market by 80%. - Gasoline will be obsolete. Nuclear is already obsolete. - Up to 80% of highways will be redundant. - Up to 80% of parking spaces will be redundant. - The concept of individual car ownership will be obsolete. - The Car Insurance industry will be disrupted. The Stone Age did not end because we ran out of rocks. It ended because a disruptive technology ushered in the Bronze Age. The era of centralized, command-and-control, extraction-resource-based energy sources (oil, gas, coal and nuclear) will not end because we run out of petroleum, natural gas, coal, or uranium. It will end because these energy sources, the business models they employ, and the products that sustain them will be disrupted by superior technologies, product architectures, and business models. This is a technology-based disruption reminiscent of how the cell phone, Internet, and personal computer swept away industries such as landline telephony, publishing, and mainframe computers. Just like those technology disruptions flipped the architecture of information and brought abundant, cheap and participatory information, the clean disruption will flip the architecture of energy and bring abundant, cheap and participatory energy. Just like those previous technology disruptions, the Clean Disruption is inevitable and it will be swift.